I guess it was only a matter of time before I had to write this post, so here goes.
As anyone who has read this blog with any regularity knows (if I actually write something for it), I have been one of the seemingly few voices of reason when it comes to Donovan McNabb. Despite falling short of that ultimate goal we all crave, he has been the field general for the winningest period in franchise history and is, hands down, the best quarterback to ever suit up for the Philadelphia Eagles.
The last few seasons and 2004 being the exceptions, for the last 11 years McNabb has shepherded an offense to relatively great success with one weapon at his disposal: Brian Westbrook. Short of throwing the ball to himself, McNabb’s remaining options were illustrious talents such as Todd Pinkston, L.J. Smith, Freddie Mitchell, James Thrash, Kevin Curtis and Reggie Brown. Winning as many games and division titles as they did, and reaching all those NFC Championship games, is a testament to two things: the late Jim Johnson’s terrific defenses and the enormous talent of McNabb and Westbrook.
So now that Andy Reid is prepared to detach McNabb from his gigantic hip, and so many of you are perhaps about to get your wish granted, I still say, be careful what you wish for. You just might get it.
The Eagles have no one to blame but themselves for this mess. McNabb is still this team’s best chance to win right now. That point is inarguable. For better or worse, Kevin Kolb is the Eagles’ QB of the future. That, too, is immutable truth. Both men are in the last year of their contracts, and only one (Kolb) is going to get an extension. Even this McNabb supporter has to concede that trading McNabb while he still has value is the most logical course of action.
But trading him is more complicated than many people would think. If the NFL were to clear all the rosters and start over with a fresh draft, McNabb would be taken in the top 20. This is still a quarterback league, and he’s one of the few franchise-level players, even at age 33. So the Eagles can’t simply let him go for a third round pick. If Oakland is indeed the strongest suitor, they don’t even have a first round pick to offer until 2012.
On a side note, Oakland sounds like a terrible place for McNabb to end up, but I think he could actually help the Raiders enormously. They have a decent running game, a track team full of receivers and a pretty good defense. They managed five wins with JaMarcus Russell and Brad Gradkowski at QB. In that weak division, with McNabb at the helm, the Raiders could be in wild card contention next year.
I don’t believe the Eagles will trade McNabb if they can’t get fair value for him. There are also a limited number of teams with whom they can deal. This talk of Minnesota if Brett Favre finally retires is ridiculous. If they trade McNabb to a contender and he wins the Super Bowl, Reid & Co. look like even bigger jackasses than they do already. McNabb may end up a Viking in 2011 as a free agent, but there’s no way in hell he’ll be in Minnesota, or with any other contender, in 2010.
But if they do get a good deal from an acceptable team, what happens to the Eagles next? Well, the Kevin Kolb era can go two ways.
Optimistically, let’s say Kolb is more or less as good as McNabb. Reid will still be the head coach, so the same systemic issues will continue to plague the team, and the Eagles will most likely keep coming up short of a Super Bowl victory. If, however, they somehow should reach the top of that mountain in the next five years, Kolb will be toasted for accomplishing what McNabb could not, and people will overlook the fact that, unlike McNabb’s first 10 years as starter, Kolb had a host of talent around him at every skill position (Brent Celek, DeSean Jackson, LeSean McCoy, Jeremy Maclin and Jason Avant).
More likely, Kolb will be a decent QB, but not nearly as good as McNabb, and the Eagles will continue to fail upward at best, reaching the playoffs occasionally but never getting close to a championship. One thing is certain: McNabb has the lowest interception percentage in NFL history, so get ready for turnovers to increase. And turnovers kill.
Whether McNabb has already played his last game as an Eagle, or he gets one more shot at the Super Bowl in 2010, his eventual departure from Philadelphia seems unavoidable at this point. So consider this my fond farewell to our beleaguered quarterback, who never got a fair shake from the city of brotherly love, who made as many brilliant plays for every pass he clanked off his deadbeat receivers or the turf, who rarely got any personnel help from the stubborn coach/GM who forced him repeatedly to do it all on his own with no running game, who still managed to win more games than any other QB in the history of the franchise.
Donovan, here’s one fan who is very glad you were an Eagle.