The baseball gods rewarded the Phillies’ “heroism” yesterday in Denver, when they saved the Coors Field grounds crew from almost certain peril, and preserved a victory to make sure the franchise could celebrate its landmark 10,000th loss at home next weekend after the All-Star break.
The Tarp Game, as it’s sure to become known for at least the next day or so, may prove to be the most interesting thing that happens to this team in 2007, apart from the aforementioned 10,000-loss milestone.
I think if we look at this club objectively—the slow start and often dumb baseball they played in the first 45 days, the ridiculous transition of Brett Myers to the bullpen, and a pitching staff that’s spent more time in the ICU than on the field—it’s something of an accomplishment that the Phillies sit in third place in the NL East at an even 44-44, 4.5 games behind the Mets.
Even I have to give Charlie Manuel some credit for keeping this mess together. But let’s not kid ourselves. Unless Pat Gillick manages to pull a few pitchers out of his hat, this team will be lucky to finish the 2007 season on the plus side of the wins column.
Allow me to take you back, if I may, to another ball club from days gone by with similar characteristics to this one. The 1930 Philadelphia Phillies scored 944 runs and hit .315 as a team, which believe it or not was only the fourth best offense in the NL that season. However, they also maintained their hold on the NL cellar with a 52-102 record thanks to a team ERA of 6.71, by far the worst in the league.
Sound familiar? The 2007 Phillies have a good shot at leading the NL in runs, but they also own the worst ERA as well. The spread in statistics isn’t as warped as that 1930 squad (obviously they’re not going to finish 50 games under .500), but the moral to the story is the same; bad pitching equals a bad record, and if they manage to finish anywhere in the neighborhood of .500, I’ll be impressed.
Meanwhile, it looks like the Milwaukee Brewers will be getting back to the playoffs before the Phillies.